TickTilt Scorecard

How often were the lean signals right? Graded when a round had about 2 minutes left, then checked against the official result.

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By signal strength

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Strong lean (≥95%)

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Leaning (60–94%)

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Toss-up (<60%)

How this is graded

TickTilt's cards estimate which way a 15-minute round is leaning from the live price vs the target. The scorecard replays that same formula at fixed times left (about 6, 3, and 2 minutes), using a public 1-minute reference price, then compares the call to Kalshi's official Up/Down result.

A green check means the lean's direction matched the result. A red X means it didn't. Toss-ups are too close to call, so the headline focuses on Strong leans.